Climate Candidate Briefing:
Gabe Vasquez (NM-2)
Candidate Type: Challenger
Party: Democratic
Race Status & Polling
Gabe Vasquez’s race is rated a toss-up. He is challenging incumbent Rep. Yvette Herrell, attempting to flip the seat.
This section will be updated with district-specific poll results as they are published:
NM Governor (Jan. 3, 2022): Lujan Grisham (incumbent, D) 40% / Zanetti (challenger, R) 39%
New Mexico’s 2nd Congressional District
New Mexico’s 2nd congressional district covers southwest New Mexico, including Las Cruces, the state’s second-largest city.
NM-2 experienced a dramatic partisan swing through redistricting. The new map gives NM-2 a rating of D+4, a marked shift from its previous partisan index of R+14. The incumbent Republican, Yvette Herrell, won the district under R+14 conditions, so the district is newly competitive.
Climate impacts:
NM-2 is home to the majority of New Mexico’s oil and gas production, 50% of which takes place on federal lands.
The entire state is trending hotter and drier, leading to an increase in wildfires, drought, and heat-related illness and death. It is the sixth-fastest-warming state in the nation, and temperatures could rise by as much as 8.5 degrees F by 2100.
Reduced snowpack from New Mexico’s mountains means less available drinking water, and its reservoirs have been steadily shrinking. Less freshwater also poses severe threat to New Mexico’s forests and agriculture.
Climate attitudes (note: this data was collected prior to the district’s new partisan composition.):
According to the Yale Program on Climate Change Communication, 64% of voters in NM-2are concerned about climate change, while 66% believe it will harm future generations (below the national average).
Fifty-seven percent believe Congress should do more about climate change, and 52% believe climate change should be a “high priority” for the next president and Congress, below the national average.
Climate issues are discussed by less than half the electorate. Only 36% indicated they talk about climate change even “occasionally,” but this is above the national average of 35%.
Gabe’s Climate Position & Record
In his position on the Las Cruces City Council, Gabe committed himself to conservation of public lands. Recognizing the economic impact of the energy transition on his state, Gabe focuses his climate message on creating clean energy jobs and economic development.
Below are statements on the climate crisis articulated on his campaign website:
We have a basic responsibility to leave a better world for our kids, but unchecked pollution from dirty and outdated energy sources is putting the health and future of our children at risk. Ninety-nine percent of scientists, NASA, and the Department of Defense all agree that climate change is a threat – and we’re already seeing its impact in the forms of increasingly severe weather, drought, and wildfires. Water scarcity and drought will be one of New Mexico’s toughest issues to solve, and I’m up for the challenge.
I’ll work to encourage a transition to clean energy like wind and solar so that we can not only dramatically reduce the pollution that is disrupting our climate and making our families sick, but also create thousands of good-paying jobs right here in Southern New Mexico. We can also continue to grow our economy by electrifying our homes, cars, and businesses. New Mexico is home to some of the best research facilities in the nation and should be leading the effort in new energy technologies and drought-adaptation strategies.
The Opposition
Gabe is challenging a sitting member of Congress, Rep. Yvette Herrell. Rep. Herrell has received an astonishing 0% lifetime score from the League of Conservation Voters, meaning she has virtually never taken a pro-environment vote. She is vocally supportive of the oil and gas industry and against proposed climate policy. Some examples from her Twitter:
Concurrent Elections
In 2022, New Mexico has statewide elections for governor and state legislature. The Republican primary will determine who faces off against incumbent Democratic governor Michelle Lujan-Grisham.
Key Dates and Resources
October 11: Voter registration deadline for mail and online
November 8: General election (mailed ballots must be received by this date)
Resources
2022 House race ratings (Cook Political Report)
2022 House Crystal Ball (Larry Sabato, UVA Center for Politics)
2022 House elections (FiveThirtyEight)
Member of Congress scorecard (League of Conservation Voters)
Follow @Gabe_NM on Twitter to stay up to date!